— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
ndfd
11¢
nbm
10¢
aifs
5¢
icon
5¢
hres
3¢
eps
1¢
wn2
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F10¢
78–79°F39¢
80–81°F39¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,689 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.564 vs climatology 9.295.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260915-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-08T07:23:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape