— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
96¢
hres
95¢
aifs
92¢
wn2
83¢
eps
80¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
43¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F3¢
80–81°F11¢
82–83°F23¢
84–85°F29¢
86–87°F21¢
88–89°F9¢
90–91°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,590 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.747 vs climatology 9.303.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260916-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-10T03:10:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape