daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Wed Sep 16

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 84°F+ · Wed Sep 16

71¢

american -240 · decimal 1.42

on the tape

84°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		84¢
wn2		74¢
nbm		74¢
aifs		70¢
icon		67¢
ndfd		57¢
eps		46¢
rrfs		17¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F3¢

80–81°F13¢

82–83°F27¢

84–85°F30¢

86–87°F19¢

88–89°F6¢

90–91°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,640 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.747 vs climatology 9.295.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260916-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-09T07:37:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape