WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Wed Sep 16

Pittsburgh touches 90°F sometime this week

13¢
american +693 · decimal 7.93
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0909/0909/10 06:55
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Sep 10
0¢
Fri Sep 11
0¢
Sat Sep 12
0¢
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
0¢
Tue Sep 15
8¢
Wed Sep 16
5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260916-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-09T07:37:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape