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week prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Sep 17

Pittsburgh touches 90°F sometime this week

29¢
american +240 · decimal 3.4
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1009/1009/11 06:59
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Fri Sep 11
0¢
Sat Sep 12
0¢
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
0¢
Tue Sep 15
9¢
Wed Sep 16
13¢
Thu Sep 17
11¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260917-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-10T07:40:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape