— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
93¢
eps
92¢
hres
84¢
nbm
55¢
icon
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F9¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F31¢
80–81°F24¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,845 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.258.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260918-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-09-11T07:44:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape