— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
nbm
7¢
wn2
5¢
hres
4¢
aifs
3¢
ndfd
3¢
icon
2¢
eps
2¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F9¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F34¢
80–81°F22¢
82–83°F7¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,847 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260918-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-11T13:45:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape