— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
79¢
nbm
75¢
hres
74¢
eps
71¢
aifs
64¢
ndfd
59¢
rrfs
35¢
icon
7¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F3¢
72–73°F9¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F27¢
78–79°F23¢
80–81°F13¢
82–83°F4¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,798 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.738 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260919-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-09-13T04:07:03+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape