— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
82¢
aifs
70¢
hres
61¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
54¢
eps
44¢
icon
24¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F18¢
76–77°F30¢
78–79°F27¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F4¢
84–85°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,899 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.245.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260919-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-09-14T04:11:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape