— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
17¢
wn2
12¢
nbm
10¢
aifs
9¢
ndfd
3¢
eps
2¢
icon
0¢
rrfs
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F18¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F24¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F5¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,798 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.738 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260919-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-12T07:48:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape