— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
98¢
hres
96¢
eps
93¢
aifs
87¢
icon
77¢
nbm
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F3¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F23¢
78–79°F22¢
80–81°F15¢
82–83°F7¢
84–85°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 12,749 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.95 vs climatology 9.255.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260920-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-09-13T10:53:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape