— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
98¢
eps
89¢
aifs
80¢
hres
74¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
55¢
rrfs
46¢
icon
16¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F20¢
76–77°F31¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F12¢
82–83°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,951 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.234.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260920-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-14T04:11:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape