— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
94¢
eps
74¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
57¢
rrfs
43¢
hres
43¢
aifs
37¢
icon
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F3¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F15¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F22¢
80–81°F17¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F3¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 12,747 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.95 vs climatology 9.258.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260920-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-09-16T14:54:51+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape