— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
48¢
eps
7¢
ndfd
4¢
hres
4¢
aifs
4¢
nbm
1¢
icon
0¢
rrfs
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F15¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F23¢
80–81°F17¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F4¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 12,747 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.95 vs climatology 9.258.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260920-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-09-13T07:52:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape