— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
50¢
nbm
16¢
eps
11¢
wn2
6¢
ndfd
2¢
hres
1¢
aifs
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F7¢
68–69°F16¢
70–71°F24¢
72–73°F24¢
74–75°F16¢
76–77°F7¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 12,749 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.95 vs climatology 9.255.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260921-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-09-14T07:56:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape