daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Sep 22

Pittsburgh stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 61°F · Tue Sep 22

23¢

american +335 · decimal 4.35

on the tape

61°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 61°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		92¢
hrrr		83¢
nbm		41¢
ndfd		41¢
aifs		30¢
hres		29¢
rrfs		21¢
eps		7¢
wn2		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

56–57°F1¢

58–59°F5¢

60–61°F16¢

62–63°F29¢

64–65°F28¢

66–67°F15¢

68–69°F4¢

70–71°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,055 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.207.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260922-TMAX-LE61 · opened 2026-09-18T07:33:32+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape