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week prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Sep 22

Pittsburgh touches 90°F sometime this week

4¢
american +2333 · decimal 24.33
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1509/1509/16 06:36
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Wed Sep 16
2¢
Thu Sep 17
0¢
Fri Sep 18
0¢
Sat Sep 19
0¢
Sun Sep 20
0¢
Mon Sep 21
0¢
Tue Sep 22
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260922-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-15T08:01:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape