daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Wed Sep 23

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Wed Sep 23

2¢

american +6352 · decimal 64.52

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		13¢
eps		13¢
icon		8¢
ndfd		7¢
wn2		2¢
hres		2¢
aifs		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

56–57°F1¢

58–59°F2¢

60–61°F4¢

62–63°F8¢

64–65°F12¢

66–67°F15¢

68–69°F16¢

70–71°F15¢

72–73°F12¢

74–75°F8¢

76–77°F4¢

78–79°F2¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 12,600 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.874 vs climatology 9.258.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260923-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-16T07:22:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape