— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
29¢
eps
24¢
nbm
23¢
hres
14¢
rrfs
10¢
aifs
3¢
ndfd
2¢
wn2
2¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F4¢
62–63°F15¢
64–65°F28¢
66–67°F29¢
68–69°F16¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,158 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.177.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260924-TMAX-LE61 · opened 2026-09-20T07:45:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape