— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
99¢
aifs
97¢
hres
88¢
wn2
84¢
nbm
77¢
icon
75¢
ndfd
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F3¢
66–67°F10¢
68–69°F23¢
70–71°F30¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F9¢
76–77°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,109 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.736 vs climatology 9.177.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260926-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-22T02:42:20+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape