— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
94¢
eps
94¢
hres
85¢
wn2
76¢
nbm
75¢
icon
63¢
ndfd
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F3¢
66–67°F12¢
68–69°F25¢
70–71°F30¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F8¢
76–77°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,159 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.739 vs climatology 9.163.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260926-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-20T15:18:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape