— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
73¢
nbm
53¢
wn2
46¢
hres
43¢
eps
34¢
icon
25¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F13¢
68–69°F26¢
70–71°F29¢
72–73°F19¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,060 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.947 vs climatology 9.176.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260926-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-09-19T07:39:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape