— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
55¢
ndfd
53¢
icon
50¢
nbm
46¢
wn2
40¢
hres
27¢
eps
22¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F26¢
70–71°F26¢
72–73°F16¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,060 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.947 vs climatology 9.176.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260927-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-09-20T11:31:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape