— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
65¢
ndfd
55¢
aifs
47¢
nbm
45¢
hres
38¢
eps
21¢
icon
16¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F3¢
64–65°F9¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F21¢
72–73°F15¢
74–75°F8¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,011 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.203 vs climatology 9.176.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260928-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-09-23T02:49:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape