— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
62¢
nbm
58¢
ndfd
53¢
wn2
53¢
hres
51¢
eps
17¢
icon
10¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F4¢
64–65°F10¢
66–67°F17¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F20¢
72–73°F14¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,061 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.205 vs climatology 9.163.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260928-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-09-22T02:42:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape