— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
100¢
wn2
100¢
eps
96¢
icon
90¢
hres
75¢
nbm
62¢
ndfd
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F12¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F21¢
78–79°F11¢
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,474 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.735 vs climatology 9.066.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261002-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-27T14:40:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape