— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
95¢
nbm
91¢
aifs
85¢
hres
80¢
rrfs
77¢
ndfd
59¢
eps
50¢
icon
44¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F7¢
64–65°F19¢
66–67°F28¢
68–69°F25¢
70–71°F14¢
72–73°F4¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,474 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.735 vs climatology 9.066.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261003-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-27T14:40:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape