— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
nbm
50¢
eps
48¢
wn2
43¢
aifs
35¢
icon
26¢
hres
6¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F3¢
64–65°F14¢
66–67°F30¢
68–69°F32¢
70–71°F17¢
72–73°F4¢
74–75°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,524 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.733 vs climatology 9.053.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261003-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-09-26T11:29:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape