— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
57¢
nbm
53¢
eps
52¢
icon
27¢
hres
23¢
aifs
8¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F6¢
64–65°F17¢
66–67°F28¢
68–69°F28¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F5¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,526 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.733 vs climatology 9.052.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261003-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-09-26T07:42:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape