— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
93¢
aifs
86¢
nbm
76¢
hres
60¢
rrfs
57¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
41¢
icon
35¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F11¢
68–69°F28¢
70–71°F33¢
72–73°F19¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,937 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.523 vs climatology 8.965.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261009-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-03T03:32:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape