— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
96¢
wn2
88¢
hres
86¢
icon
71¢
eps
61¢
nbm
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F12¢
68–69°F28¢
70–71°F33¢
72–73°F18¢
74–75°F5¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,937 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.523 vs climatology 8.965.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261009-TMAX-GE70 · opened 2026-10-02T13:55:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape