— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
92¢
hres
86¢
icon
82¢
nbm
59¢
eps
57¢
ndfd
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F5¢
70–71°F12¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F20¢
78–79°F10¢
80–81°F3¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,888 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.696 vs climatology 8.965.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261010-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-03T08:04:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape