— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
75¢
icon
65¢
aifs
62¢
nbm
55¢
ndfd
55¢
wn2
49¢
hres
28¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F5¢
64–65°F10¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F14¢
74–75°F8¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,740 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261011-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-06T15:29:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape