— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
79¢
wn2
61¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
59¢
aifs
56¢
eps
43¢
rrfs
39¢
icon
15¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F10¢
68–69°F19¢
70–71°F24¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F13¢
76–77°F6¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,790 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.964.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261012-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-06T04:07:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape