— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
90¢
aifs
75¢
hres
64¢
eps
57¢
nbm
53¢
icon
16¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F10¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F29¢
72–73°F23¢
74–75°F11¢
76–77°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,095 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.521 vs climatology 8.918.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261012-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-05T07:41:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape