— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
81¢
icon
66¢
hres
57¢
nbm
53¢
eps
52¢
aifs
49¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F11¢
68–69°F18¢
70–71°F23¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F13¢
76–77°F6¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,740 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261012-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-05T11:28:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape