daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 12

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 77°F+ · Mon Oct 12

2¢

american +6189 · decimal 62.89

on the tape

77°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		21¢
aifs		12¢
nbm		5¢
ndfd		4¢
wn2		3¢
eps		2¢
rrfs		1¢
icon		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F3¢

66–67°F10¢

68–69°F20¢

70–71°F26¢

72–73°F22¢

74–75°F12¢

76–77°F5¢

78–79°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,740 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.977.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20261012-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-05T07:41:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape