— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
87¢
icon
85¢
hres
78¢
eps
62¢
aifs
54¢
nbm
52¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F12¢
70–71°F27¢
72–73°F32¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F6¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape