daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Oct 16

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 76°F+ · Fri Oct 16

5¢

american +1933 · decimal 20.33

on the tape

76°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 76°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		37¢
rrfs		37¢
wn2		26¢
aifs		19¢
nbm		9¢
icon		5¢
eps		2¢
ndfd		2¢
hrrr		2¢
now		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F7¢

70–71°F31¢

72–73°F43¢

74–75°F17¢

76–77°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape