— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
90¢
wn2
77¢
icon
73¢
aifs
70¢
hres
57¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
46–47°F2¢
48–49°F8¢
50–51°F21¢
52–53°F31¢
54–55°F25¢
56–57°F11¢
58–59°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,254 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.694 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261017-TMAX-GE51 · opened 2026-10-13T04:15:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape