— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
96¢
aifs
89¢
hres
61¢
ndfd
56¢
icon
48¢
eps
47¢
rrfs
35¢
nbm
24¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F10¢
64–65°F26¢
66–67°F32¢
68–69°F21¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261021-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-15T15:33:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape