daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 1

Raleigh high ≥ 85°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 89

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		84¢
hres		84¢
icon		75¢
eps		59¢
nbm		54¢
wn2		42¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261001-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-09-24T07:27:40+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:34+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape