daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 1

Raleigh high ≥ 89°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 89

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		59¢
rrfs		56¢
aifs		55¢
nbm		43¢
hres		31¢
eps		25¢
icon		12¢
wn2		6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261001-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-09-25T18:08:42+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:36+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape