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daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Raleigh high ≥ 63°F · Sun Oct 18

NO
settled · observed 62
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 63°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0310/1110/18 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 93¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hres
80¢
eps
78¢
wn2
75¢
nbm
53¢
aifs
30¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261018-TMAX-GE63 · opened 2026-10-11T07:31:41+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:49+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape