daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Raleigh stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 61°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 62

whiplash on the tape

61°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 61°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 90¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		76¢
icon		66¢
nbm		59¢
hres		56¢
rrfs		43¢
eps		43¢
wn2		22¢
aifs		16¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261018-TMAX-LE61 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:23+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:51+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape