daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 26

Raleigh runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Mon Oct 26

9¢

american +980 · decimal 10.8

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		29¢
aifs		25¢
wn2		19¢
ndfd		17¢
nbm		15¢
hres		14¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F2¢

66–67°F5¢

68–69°F10¢

70–71°F16¢

72–73°F19¢

74–75°F19¢

76–77°F14¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F4¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261026-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-19T07:32:49+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape