daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 1

Richmond runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 87

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

86°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		94¢
aifs		84¢
nbm		76¢
rrfs		72¢
hres		68¢
eps		55¢
icon		43¢
wn2		29¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261001-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-24T07:27:38+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:38+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape