daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Richmond stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 60°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 59

longshot hit golden 0d out whiplash on the tape

60°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop went golden 0.5 days before settlement; traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		99¢
ndfd		95¢
hres		33¢
wn2		12¢
aifs		10¢
rrfs		8¢
eps		0¢
icon		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261017-TMAX-LE60 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:44+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:09:00+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape