daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Richmond high ≥ 73°F · Tue Oct 20

38¢

american +165 · decimal 2.65

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		74¢
wn2		66¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		33¢
icon		20¢
rrfs		18¢
hres		17¢
eps		14¢
hrrr		4¢
now		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F10¢

70–71°F46¢

72–73°F38¢

74–75°F6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261020-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:45+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape