daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 22

Richmond runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +6310 · decimal 64.1

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		30¢
wn2		10¢
eps		3¢
nbm		3¢
hres		1¢
aifs		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F5¢

66–67°F14¢

68–69°F24¢

70–71°F26¢

72–73°F18¢

74–75°F8¢

76–77°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261022-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape